Last updated: 2026-07-17
Lexus ES vs Tesla Model 3: Reliability Compared

Lexus ES

Tesla Model 3
Choosing between the Lexus ES and the Tesla Model 3? This page compares their reliability scores, NHTSA recall history, owner-reported complaints, and estimated annual repair costs so you can make a confident long-term ownership decision between these two midsize sedans.
Our reliability scores are based on NHTSA recall and complaint data, independent repair cost estimates, and sales-normalized complaint rates. The Lexus ES currently leads with an average score of 83/100 compared to 55/100. Scroll down for the full year-by-year breakdown, common problem areas, and repair cost comparison.
How Do the Lexus ES and Tesla Model 3 Generations Compare?
Verdict
The Lexus ES is more reliable than the Tesla Model 3, scoring 83/100 vs 55/100.
The Lexus ES demonstrates superior reliability with an average score of 83/100 compared to the Tesla Model 3's 54/100. The Lexus ES has had only 15 recalls in 8 years, significantly fewer than the Model 3's 113 recalls over 9 years. Tesla's owner complaint rate stands at 28.7 per 10,000 units sold, indicating more frequent issues compared to Lexus's lower overall complaint numbers, despite lacking normalization data. Key differentiators include Tesla's recurring problems with forward collision avoidance and electrical systems, whereas Lexus's issues are less frequent and less severe, making the ES a more reliable choice.
Key Differences
- 1Lexus ES has 98 fewer total recalls
- 2Lexus ES scores 28 points higher in reliability
Category Scoreboard
Lexus ES vs Tesla Model 3: Which Is More Reliable?
| Metric | Lexus ES | Tesla Model 3 |
|---|---|---|
| Reliability Score | 83/100 | 55/100 |
| Years Tracked | 8 | 9 |
| Total Recalls | 15 | 113 |
| Total ComplaintsRaw count — varies with sales volume | 95 | 3948 |
| Year Wins | 8 | 0 |
What Are the Common Problems With the Lexus ES and Tesla Model 3?
The Tesla Model 3 exhibits a significantly higher volume of complaints compared to the Lexus ES, with a particular concentration in Forward Collision Avoidance (841 complaints, 33 crash-linked) and Vehicle Speed Control (511 complaints, 67 crash-linked) issues. These areas indicate potential safety concerns, as a substantial number of complaints are linked to crashes. In contrast, the Lexus ES has a notably lower total complaint count, with the most significant safety-related concern being Air Bags (8 complaints, 5 crash-linked). While the Tesla Model 3's issues are more numerous and frequently crash-related, the Lexus ES displays a more dispersed problem profile with fewer severe incidents.
| Component | Lexus ES | Tesla Model 3 |
|---|---|---|
| FORWARD COLLISION AVOIDANCE | — | 841 |
| VEHICLE SPEED CONTROL | 2 | 511 |
| ELECTRICAL SYSTEM | 4 | 411 |
| UNKNOWN OR OTHER | 6 | 391 |
| STEERING | — | 356 |
| SERVICE BRAKES | 5 | 290 |
| AIR BAGS | 8 | 230 |
| SUSPENSION | — | 224 |
| POWER TRAIN | 3 | 76 |
| STRUCTURE | 2 | 64 |
| LANE DEPARTURE | 2 | 40 |
| EXTERIOR LIGHTING | — | 22 |
| ENGINE | 6 | 6 |
| SEAT BELTS | — | 9 |
| FUEL/PROPULSION SYSTEM | 7 | — |
| FUEL SYSTEM | 3 | — |
| BACK OVER PREVENTION | — | 3 |
| TIRES | 2 | — |
| WHEELS | 2 | — |
Raw complaint counts aggregated across all tracked model years from NHTSA owner reports. Counts vary with sales volume.
How Does Lexus ES vs Tesla Model 3 Reliability Compare by Year?
| Year | Lexus ES | Tesla Model 3 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 83/1001R / 4C | 67/1003R / 87C | Lexus ES |
| 2024 | 80/1004R / 9C | 62/1004R / 183C | Lexus ES |
| 2023 | 80/1004R / 18C | 57/10010R / 386C | Lexus ES |
| 2022 | 88/1000R / 16C | 50/10016R / 729C | Lexus ES |
| 2021 | 88/1000R / 0C | 48/10020R / 626C | Lexus ES |
| 2020 | 83/1001R / 5C | 54/10020R / 416C | Lexus ES |
| 2019 | 78/1003R / 33C | 49/10021R / 569C | Lexus ES |
| 2018 | 80/1002R / 10C | 46/10018R / 951C | Lexus ES |
Best years to cross-shop: The 2022 Lexus ES scored 88/100 and the 2025 Tesla Model 3 scored 67/100 — these represent the strongest model years in our tracking range.
Who Should Buy the Lexus ES vs the Tesla Model 3?
Lexus ES vs Tesla Model 3: Common Questions
- Is the Lexus ES more reliable than the Tesla Model 3?
- Based on our data, the Lexus ES is more reliable with an average score of 83/100 compared to 55/100. That's a significant difference worth considering.
- Which has more recalls, the Lexus ES or the Tesla Model 3?
- The Tesla Model 3 has more recalls (113) compared to the Lexus ES (15). More recalls don't always mean worse reliability — some are minor — but it's worth reviewing what each recall covers.
- Which has fewer owner complaints, the Lexus ES or the Tesla Model 3?
- The Lexus ES has fewer owner complaints (95) versus 3948 for the Tesla Model 3. Note that models with higher sales naturally generate more complaints.
Related Reliability Comparisons
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Decided between Lexus ES and Tesla Model 3? Run a VIN check before you buy — uncover hidden accidents, title issues, and open recalls.
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How We Calculate Reliability Scores
Auto Reliability Index scores are calculated on a 0–100 scale using a weighted formula that combines multiple public data sources. Each factor is weighted based on its predictive value for real-world ownership experience.
Key Ranking Factors
Complaint Severity
NHTSA owner complaints weighted by component category (e.g., powertrain, safety systems, electronics, cosmetic) — safety-critical issues carry more weight than cosmetic ones. Adjusted for sales volume so high-volume models aren't unfairly penalized.
Repair Costs
Independent reliability ratings based on repair frequency, average repair costs, and severity of typical repairs for each model.
Recall Impact
Number of NHTSA recalls weighted by severity. “Stop driving” and fire-risk recalls are penalized more heavily than minor software or labeling recalls.
Issue Diversity
Measures how many major vehicle systems (engine, transmission, electrical, braking, etc.) have recorded complaints. A vehicle with issues spread across many systems may indicate systemic quality issues.
Scores are grouped into four tiers:
- 80–100: Excellent— Top-tier reliability, minimal issues
- 60–79: Good— Reliable with some minor concerns
- 40–59: Mixed— Notable issues, research before buying
- 0–39: Risky— Significant problems, proceed with caution
Data is sourced from NHTSA recall records, owner complaint filings, and independent repair databases. Scores are recalculated as new data becomes available. While the weighting model is proprietary, all underlying data sources are public and traceable.
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